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Porto-BA U20 vs Serrano U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano U20 game between Porto-BA U20 and Serrano U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porto-BA U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Porto-BA U20
20%
Draws
40%
Serrano U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Porto-BA U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Porto-BA U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Porto-BA U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA U20 Serrano U20
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.7 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Baiano U20
Porto-BA U20 vs Serrano U20
3:1
Mar 24, 2026 Baiano U20
Serrano U20 vs Porto-BA U20
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA U20 58 / 100
Serrano U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA U20 Serrano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto-BA U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto-BA U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Serrano U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Porto-BA U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA U20 VS Serrano U20
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto-BA U20

(Home)
13 Jun
Porto-BA U20
1 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
07 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
3 : 2
Porto-BA U20
03 Jun
Conquista FC U20
3 : 0
Porto-BA U20
31 May
Porto-BA U20
2 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
23 May
Porto-BA U20
3 : 1
Jequie U20
Page 1 of 6

Serrano U20

(Away)
03 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
5 : 1
Serrano U20
30 May
Serrano U20
0 : 0
Grapiuna U20
24 May
Catuense U20
1 : 2
Serrano U20
09 May
Serrano U20
2 : 1
Jequie U20
02 May
Porto-BA U20
3 : 1
Serrano U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 14 12 1 1 62:8 37
2 Galicia U20 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
3 Camacariense U20 14 9 0 5 37:21 27
4 SSA U20 14 6 2 6 29:15 20
5 Jacobina U20 14 6 2 6 18:18 20
6 Juazeirense U20 14 5 3 6 16:25 18
7 Feirense U20 14 3 0 11 11:35 9
8 Camacari U20 14 1 1 12 6:67 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 14 12 1 1 49:14 37
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 8 3 3 30:18 27
3 Jacuipense U20 14 7 3 4 24:15 24
4 Estrela De Marco U20 14 6 4 4 18:16 22
5 Alagoinhas U20 14 6 3 5 26:23 21
6 Bahia de Feira U20 14 4 1 9 16:25 13
7 Redencao U20 14 3 1 10 17:36 10
8 Leonico U20 14 1 2 11 9:42 5
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto-BA U20 14 10 3 1 31:17 33
2 Conquista FC U20 14 9 4 1 23:7 31
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 14 6 4 4 25:11 22
4 Barcelona FC U20 14 5 3 6 16:16 18
5 Grapiuna U20 14 5 2 7 18:16 17
6 Serrano U20 14 5 1 8 20:30 16
7 Jequie U20 14 4 3 7 18:22 15
8 Catuense U20 14 2 0 12 16:48 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams