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Porto-BA W vs Alagoinhas W

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Baiano Women
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AI Match Summary

Alagoinhas W in this Baiano Women matchup, with the score ending 0-18 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alagoinhas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Porto-BA W
6%
Draws
90%
Alagoinhas W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alagoinhas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alagoinhas W lately — more wins on the board than Porto-BA W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Alagoinhas W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Porto-BA W Clean Sheet 20%
Alagoinhas W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA W Alagoinhas W
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.2 4.38
Goals Conceded 10.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 10.80 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Baiano Women
Porto-BA W vs Alagoinhas W
0:18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA W 10 / 100
Alagoinhas W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA W Alagoinhas W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 18.00 goals.

Porto-BA W scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Alagoinhas W has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Alagoinhas W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA W VS Alagoinhas W
0.2 Goals Scored 4.38
10.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria W660045:118
2Alagoinhas W641133:813
3Lusaca W631212:810
4Juazeirense W622215:58
5Camacariense W62139:97
6Barcelona FC W61144:314
7Porto-BA W60061:570
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia W660059:018
2Sao Francisco BA W640222:1712
3Litoral Norte W631213:1810
4CFFB W630316:99
5Jacuipense W621313:137
6Jequie W61238:175
7Botafogo BA W60061:580