Sport Picks
Porto D'Ascoli vs Calcio Chieti
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sensi M.
43'
43'
Cesario M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calcio Chieti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Calcio Chieti have won more games recently than Porto D'Ascoli.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto D'Ascoli | Calcio Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 43 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Calcio Chieti
1:1
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Porto D'Ascoli
1:2
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Porto D'Ascoli
2:1
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Calcio Chieti
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto D'Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Sensi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Calcio Chieti Compare
Top Goalscorer Cesario M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto D'Ascoli 42 / 100
Calcio Chieti 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto D'Ascoli Calcio Chieti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Calcio Chieti conceded in 72% of 43 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Porto D'Ascoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Porto D'Ascoli found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Calcio Chieti
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto D'Ascoli
(Home) 07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1 Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2 Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Nuova Florida
02 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Calcio Chieti
11 Mar
Porto D'Ascoli
0 : 0 Montegiorgio
26 Feb
Porto D'Ascoli
2 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 3
Calcio Chieti
(Away) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 9
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
22 Mar
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Calcio Chieti
01 Mar
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Calcio Chieti
15 Feb
Ancona
4 : 1 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
