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Porto D'Ascoli vs Nuova Florida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pacillo D.
90' Event
Zoboletti A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Porto D'Ascoli and Nuova Florida finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Porto D'Ascoli
35%
Draws
37%
Nuova Florida
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nuova Florida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nuova Florida come out ahead of Porto D'Ascoli on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto D'Ascoli Nuova Florida
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Nuova Florida
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Nuova Florida vs Porto D'Ascoli
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto D'Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Zoboletti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Nuova Florida Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto D'Ascoli 41 / 100
Nuova Florida 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto D'Ascoli Nuova Florida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto D'Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nuova Florida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Porto D'Ascoli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Nuova Florida registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nuova Florida
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto D'Ascoli

(Home)
07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1
Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2
Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1
Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Nuova Florida

(Away)
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2
Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3
Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2
Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0
Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)