Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto D'Ascoli vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Caiazza A.

AI Match Summary

Termoli in this Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Termoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Porto D'Ascoli
35%
Draws
41%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Termoli lately — more wins on the board than Porto D'Ascoli.
  • Porto D'Ascoli are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Termoli Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto D'Ascoli Termoli
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 19
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.77 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Termoli
0:1
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Porto D'Ascoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto D'Ascoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Caiazza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto D'Ascoli 36 / 100
Termoli 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto D'Ascoli Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Porto D'Ascoli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Porto D'Ascoli scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Termoli
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto D'Ascoli

(Home)
07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1
Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2
Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1
Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Termoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)