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Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Spagna S.
36' Event
Gelsi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between Porto Sant'Elpidio and Notaresco Calcio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porto Sant'Elpidio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Porto Sant'Elpidio
28%
Draws
22%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notaresco Calcio come out ahead of Porto Sant'Elpidio on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Porto Sant'Elpidio's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 20%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Sant'Elpidio Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Notaresco Calcio
2:0
Feb 16, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
3:0
Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare

Top Goalscorer Spagna S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gelsi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Sant'Elpidio 49 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Sant'Elpidio Notaresco Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Notaresco Calcio conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Porto Sant'Elpidio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Porto Sant'Elpidio scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campobasso34219463:2972
2Notaresco Calcio341810659:3464
3Pineto341511845:3356
4Cynthialbalonga341414651:3556
5Matese341511846:3856
6Castelfidardo341413746:3355
7Recanatese3413111062:4550
8Castelnuovo Vomano341481253:5350
9Vastese341213945:3748
10Montegiorgio341371442:4246
11FC Rieti341281438:4244
12Aprilia3411111243:4944
13Roma City348161040:4140
14US Tolentino349131252:5340
15Vastogirardi3410101446:5140
16Giulianova347101733:5031
17Porto Sant'Elpidio34452522:6317
18Agnonese34362525:8315