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Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Sangiustese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Buonaventura A.
61' Event
Cuccu R.
72' Event
Cuccu R.

AI Match Summary

Porto Sant'Elpidio in this Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto Sant'Elpidio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Porto Sant'Elpidio
15%
Draws
0%
Sangiustese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto Sant'Elpidio have won more games recently than Sangiustese.
  • Win probability leans Porto Sant'Elpidio's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 10%
Sangiustese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Sant'Elpidio Sangiustese
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 5 3
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.71 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Sangiustese
2:1
Sep 22, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Sangiustese vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuccu R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sangiustese Compare

Top Goalscorer Buonaventura A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Sant'Elpidio 38 / 100
Sangiustese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Sant'Elpidio Sangiustese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiustese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 22 matches.

Away concern: Sangiustese has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Porto Sant'Elpidio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto Sant'Elpidio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Sant'Elpidio

(Home)
19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2
Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
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Sangiustese

(Away)
01 Mar
Sangiustese
0 : 1
Montegiorgio
23 Feb
Cattolica Calcio
1 : 0
Sangiustese
16 Feb
Sangiustese
0 : 2
Matelica
09 Feb
Agnonese
3 : 0
Sangiustese
02 Feb
Sangiustese
1 : 2
Vastese
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