Sport Picks
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Vastogirardi Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 
Match Events
73'
73'
Maniscalchi F.
80'
80'
Salatino C.
82'
82'
Minchillo C.
AI Match Summary
Vastogirardi in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vastogirardi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vastogirardi have won more games recently than Porto Sant'Elpidio.
- Win probability leans Porto Sant'Elpidio's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 20%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto Sant'Elpidio | Vastogirardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Vastogirardi
0:3
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
2:2
Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Vastogirardi
3:3
Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Vastogirardi Compare
Top Goalscorer Maniscalchi F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salatino C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto Sant'Elpidio 85 / 100
Vastogirardi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto Sant'Elpidio Vastogirardi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Vastogirardi has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Porto Sant'Elpidio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Vastogirardi lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Vastogirardi
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto Sant'Elpidio
(Home) 19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6
19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
26 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 1 Roma City
23 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
0 : 1 Matese
12 May
Porto Sant'Elpidio
1 : 3 FC Rieti
Page 1 of 3
Vastogirardi
(Away) 05 May
Roma City
4 : 2 Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2 Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 7
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2 Vastogirardi
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2 Vastogirardi
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Vastogirardi
24 Mar
Campobasso
0 : 0 Vastogirardi
10 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
