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Porto Velho vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Aluizio Ferreira de Oliveira
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Jeferson
80' Event
Kaique

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Norte matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Porto Velho
6%
Draws
4%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Porto Velho at 3.25 per game, Aguia De Maraba at 2.
  • Porto Velho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 68%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 3.25 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Norte
Porto Velho vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeferson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho 95 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho Aguia De Maraba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Aguia De Maraba conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Porto Velho went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto Velho VS Aguia De Maraba
3.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nacional-AM (Manaus)541014:113
2Paysandu PA53028:109
3Guapore52124:67
4Trem520311:116
5Independencia Futebol Clube51224:85
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio510410:153
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguia De Maraba541012:613
2Porto Velho531110:510
3Amazonas52129:67
4Remo52126:67
5Galvez51049:173
6Monte Roraima50239:152