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Porto Velho vs Barcelona RO

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Erivan
59' Event
Jadiel
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Porto Velho advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Porto Velho
15%
Draws
20%
Barcelona RO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Barcelona RO haven't matched Porto Velho's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Porto Velho taking it.
  • Porto Velho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Velho, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Porto Velho have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona RO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho Barcelona RO
Matches Played 49 34
Wins 30 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Barcelona RO
4:0
Jan 21, 2026 Rondoniense
Barcelona RO vs Porto Velho
2:3
Apr 9, 2025 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Barcelona RO
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Rondoniense
Barcelona RO vs Porto Velho
1:1
Mar 19, 2025 Rondoniense
Barcelona RO vs Porto Velho
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Erivan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Barcelona RO Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho 85 / 100
Barcelona RO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho Barcelona RO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho scored in 80% of their last 49 games.

Defensive concern: Barcelona RO conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Porto Velho remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porto Velho VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Velho

(Home)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
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Barcelona RO

(Away)
28 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Barcelona RO
25 Feb
Barcelona RO
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
22 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Barcelona RO
18 Feb
Barcelona RO
3 : 2
Uniao Cacoalense
14 Feb
Porto Velho
4 : 0
Barcelona RO
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Porto Velho 2
Barcelona RO 1
Guapore 2
Ji-Parana 1
Final
Porto Velho 3
Guapore 2