Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto Velho vs Guapore

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gabriel

AI Match Summary

Guapore in this Rondoniense tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Porto Velho
6%
Draws
4%
Guapore
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto Velho have won more games recently than Guapore.
  • Win probability leans Porto Velho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Porto Velho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guapore, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 15%
Guapore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho Guapore
Matches Played 50 45
Wins 30 26
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 3.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Guapore
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Serie D
Guapore vs Porto Velho
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Guapore
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Porto Velho
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Guapore
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Velho Compare

Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Guapore Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho 84 / 100
Guapore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho Guapore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (50 games).

Solid form: Porto Velho remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Guapore conceded in 49% of 45 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Porto Velho VS Guapore
3.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Velho

(Home)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
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Guapore

(Away)
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ji-Parana1
CA Rondoniense2
Porto Velho1
Guapore3
Final
CA Rondoniense0
Guapore1