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Porto Velho vs River-PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2024
Sat, Aug 3, 2024
1 - 0
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Oliveira R.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Sorbara
(Penalty)
2' Event
Pereira I. F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Porto Velho advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Porto Velho
30%
Draws
31%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porto Velho come out ahead of River-PI on wins alone.
  • Model gives Porto Velho a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Porto Velho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Velho, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 68%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho River-PI
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.09 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Serie D
Porto Velho vs River-PI
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 Serie D
River-PI vs Porto Velho
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho 95 / 100
River-PI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

River-PI let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Porto Velho stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porto Velho VS River-PI
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Velho

(Home)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
Page 1 of 7

River-PI

(Away)
07 Oct
Picos
1 : 1
River-PI
30 Sept
River-PI
2 : 1
Picos
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Iguatu 2
Jacuipense 1
Maranhao 1
Manaus FC 2
Anapolis 3
Itabuna 1
Cianorte 5
Costa Rica 2
Maringa FC 5
Novo Hamburgo 2
Portuguesa RJ 2
Mixto 0
Nova Iguacu 3
CRAC 2
Internacional de Limeira 2
Avenida 1
Brasiliense 4
Real Noroeste 2
Brasil de Pelotas 5
Agua Santa 1
Manauara 5
Tocantinopolis 2
Retro 2
America RN 1
Treze PB 4
ASA 1
AE Altos 2
Princesa do Solimoes 1
Porto Velho 3
River-PI 2
Itabaiana 3
Atletico Cearense 1
1/8-finals
Iguatu 4
Manaus FC 3
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 2
Maringa FC 6
Portuguesa RJ 2
Nova Iguacu 0
Internacional de Limeira 1
Brasiliense 9
Brasil de Pelotas 1
Manauara 2
Retro 3
Treze PB 3
AE Altos 2
Porto Velho 3
Itabaiana 4
Quarter-finals
Iguatu 4
Anapolis 5
Maringa FC 2
Internacional de Limeira 1
Brasiliense 1
Retro 2
Treze PB 1
Itabaiana 3
Semi-finals
Anapolis 2
Maringa FC 1
Retro 2
Itabaiana 1
Final
Anapolis 3
Retro 4