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Portogruaro vs Legnago Salus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Moratti F.
68' Event
Brandi N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Portogruaro and Legnago Salus finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legnago Salus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Portogruaro
15%
Draws
85%
Legnago Salus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legnago Salus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legnago Salus come out ahead of Portogruaro on wins alone.
  • Legnago Salus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Legnago Salus here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portogruaro Legnago Salus
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0.7 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Portogruaro
5:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Legnago Salus
0:2
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Legnago Salus
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Portogruaro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Legnago Salus Compare

Top Goalscorer Moratti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brandi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 10 / 100
Legnago Salus 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portogruaro Legnago Salus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnago Salus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnago Salus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Portogruaro's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Legnago Salus's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portogruaro VS Legnago Salus
0.75 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portogruaro

(Home)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Legnago Salus

(Away)
04 Oct
Legnago Salus
0 : 2
Bassano Virtus
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Calcio San Dona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)