Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portogruaro vs Montecchio Maggiore

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Portogruaro
15%
Draws
85%
Montecchio Maggiore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montecchio Maggiore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Montecchio Maggiore have won more games recently than Portogruaro.
  • Montecchio Maggiore are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 13%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portogruaro Montecchio Maggiore
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 1 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.72 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Montecchio Maggiore
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Portogruaro
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:2
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Portogruaro
0:3
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Portogruaro
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 14 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portogruaro Montecchio Maggiore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montecchio Maggiore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montecchio Maggiore conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Montecchio Maggiore has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Portogruaro scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Portogruaro VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portogruaro

(Home)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 7

Montecchio Maggiore

(Away)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)