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Portogruaro vs Vigasio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Moras M.
14' Event
Ferchichi H.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Portogruaro and Vigasio finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vigasio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Portogruaro
15%
Draws
85%
Vigasio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vigasio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vigasio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vigasio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portogruaro Vigasio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.7 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Vigasio
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Portogruaro
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Moras M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferchichi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 10 / 100
Vigasio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portogruaro Vigasio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigasio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Vigasio let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Vigasio's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Portogruaro scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Portogruaro VS Vigasio
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portogruaro

(Home)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Vigasio

(Away)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)