Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023

Portogruaro

1 - 3

Villafranca

Our Tip

Match Events

Franceschini D.

66'

Cofini D.

Own Goal

87'

Leveh E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 game between Portogruaro and Villafranca finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Portogruaro

17%

Draws

70%

Villafranca

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Villafranca come out ahead of Portogruaro on wins alone.
Win probability leans Villafranca's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Portogruaro Clean Sheet 13%

Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portogruaro	Villafranca
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	2	5
Draws	5	9
Losses	25	16
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	2.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Portogruaro vs Villafranca

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Villafranca vs Portogruaro

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portogruaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Franceschini D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Leveh E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portogruaro 14 / 100

Villafranca 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portogruaro Villafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villafranca conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Villafranca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Portogruaro found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Portogruaro VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

2.38 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legnago Salus	34	17	9	8	48:26	60
2	Clodiense	34	15	13	6	46:31	58
3	Adriese	34	14	14	6	54:38	56
4	Campodarsego	34	14	12	8	50:40	54
5	Luparense FC	34	13	14	7	49:34	53
6	Virtus Bolzano	34	13	14	7	53:43	53
7	Este	34	13	11	10	47:39	50
8	Cjarlins Muzane	34	11	15	8	38:36	48
9	Caldiero Terme	34	12	12	10	42:41	48
10	Cartigliano	34	11	13	10	47:50	46
11	Mestre	34	12	7	15	46:42	43
12	Dolomiti Bellunesi	34	11	10	13	42:47	43
13	Montecchio Maggiore	34	10	9	15	50:55	39
14	Torviscosa	34	8	12	14	31:46	36
15	Portogruaro	34	9	8	17	36:56	35
16	Villafranca	34	8	10	16	35:46	34
17	Montebelluna	34	8	7	19	35:61	31
18	Levico Terme	34	5	14	15	23:41	29