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Portonovo SD vs Compostela

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Portonovo SD and Compostela finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Compostela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Portonovo SD
20%
Draws
29%
Compostela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portonovo SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Compostela come out ahead of Portonovo SD on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Portonovo SD's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 16%
Compostela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Compostela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.76 1.41
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Compostela
0:3
Nov 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Portonovo SD
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 39 / 100
Compostela 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Compostela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Compostela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Portonovo SD remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Compostela's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Compostela
1.4 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
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Compostela

(Away)
27 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Compostela
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Compostela 38 25 10 3 70:26 85
2 Montaneros 38 22 10 6 68:41 76
3 CD Ourense 38 22 5 11 74:40 71
4 Cerceda 38 19 7 12 66:47 64
5 Naron 38 16 10 12 67:55 58
6 Lalin 38 13 14 11 36:37 53
7 Coruxo FC 38 14 11 13 48:39 53
8 Santa Comba 38 12 14 12 42:47 50
9 SD Negreira 38 14 8 16 42:52 50
10 Alondras 38 12 14 12 48:45 50
11 Somozas 38 12 10 16 46:59 46
12 Celtiga 38 11 12 15 34:46 45
13 SD Ordenes 38 10 15 13 36:35 45
14 Verin CF 38 11 12 15 45:58 45
15 Rapido de Bouzas 38 11 11 16 38:54 44
16 Villalonga 38 11 11 16 49:53 44
17 Pontevedra B 38 11 10 17 36:48 43
18 Portonovo SD 38 8 15 15 36:51 39
19 Arosa SC 38 8 11 19 61:83 35
20 Gran Pena 38 8 10 20 29:55 34
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)