Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portonovo SD vs Naron

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naron in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Portonovo SD
11%
Draws
80%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Naron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Naron have won more games recently than Portonovo SD.
  • Model gives Naron a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Naron Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Naron
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
0:5
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
0:1
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
2:1
Nov 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
1:1
Feb 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 12 / 100
Naron 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Naron has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Portonovo SD found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Naron
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
08 May
SD Negreira
6 : 1
Portonovo SD
01 May
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
21 Apr
Alondras
4 : 0
Portonovo SD
17 Apr
Portonovo SD
1 : 2
Bergantinos
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Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerceda36265558:1783
2Racing Club Ferrol36227779:2973
3CD Ourense362141171:3167
4Racing Club Villalbes361712739:2563
5Somozas361612849:3260
6Alondras361413947:3855
7SD Ordenes3615101142:4455
8SD Negreira361491341:3551
9Villalonga3612131142:4549
10Rapido de Bouzas361351843:5144
11CD AS Pontes3611111441:5344
12Estradense3611111437:4144
13Meson do Bento367191036:4840
14Bergantinos3610101633:4540
15CD Cultural Areas369121540:5539
16Pontevedra B369101730:4637
17Santa Comba368111730:5235
18Naron36872133:5631
19Portonovo SD36572423:7122
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)