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Portonovo SD vs Naron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naron in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Portonovo SD
20%
Draws
10%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portonovo SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Naron have won more games recently than Portonovo SD.
  • Model gives Portonovo SD a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Naron Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Naron
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
0:5
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
0:1
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Naron
2:1
Nov 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
1:1
Feb 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Portonovo SD
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 85 / 100
Naron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naron's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Portonovo SD remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Naron has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Naron
1.17 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
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Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)