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Portonovo SD vs Santa Comba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Portonovo SD
30%
Draws
16%
Santa Comba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portonovo SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Comba have won more games recently than Portonovo SD.
  • Portonovo SD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 12%
Santa Comba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Santa Comba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Portonovo SD
4:1
Oct 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Santa Comba
0:0
Apr 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Santa Comba
3:3
Dec 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Santa Comba vs Portonovo SD
2:2
Apr 27, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Santa Comba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 83 / 100
Santa Comba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Santa Comba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Comba let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Portonovo SD has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Santa Comba registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Santa Comba
0.38 Goals Scored 0.71
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
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Santa Comba

(Away)
15 May
Santa Comba
1 : 1
CD AS Pontes
08 May
Villalonga
1 : 1
Santa Comba
01 May
Santa Comba
0 : 2
Cerceda
24 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
Santa Comba
16 Apr
Santa Comba
1 : 2
SD Ordenes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Compostela 38 25 10 3 70:26 85
2 Montaneros 38 22 10 6 68:41 76
3 CD Ourense 38 22 5 11 74:40 71
4 Cerceda 38 19 7 12 66:47 64
5 Naron 38 16 10 12 67:55 58
6 Lalin 38 13 14 11 36:37 53
7 Coruxo FC 38 14 11 13 48:39 53
8 Santa Comba 38 12 14 12 42:47 50
9 SD Negreira 38 14 8 16 42:52 50
10 Alondras 38 12 14 12 48:45 50
11 Somozas 38 12 10 16 46:59 46
12 Celtiga 38 11 12 15 34:46 45
13 SD Ordenes 38 10 15 13 36:35 45
14 Verin CF 38 11 12 15 45:58 45
15 Rapido de Bouzas 38 11 11 16 38:54 44
16 Villalonga 38 11 11 16 49:53 44
17 Pontevedra B 38 11 10 17 36:48 43
18 Portonovo SD 38 8 15 15 36:51 39
19 Arosa SC 38 8 11 19 61:83 35
20 Gran Pena 38 8 10 20 29:55 34
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)