Sport Picks
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Portonovo SD and SD Negreira finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SD Negreira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SD Negreira come out ahead of Portonovo SD on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on SD Negreira taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portonovo SD | SD Negreira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Portonovo SD
6:1
Dec 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
2:0
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
0:0
Oct 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Portonovo SD
2:1
Feb 17, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portonovo SD 10 / 100
SD Negreira 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portonovo SD SD Negreira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Negreira let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: SD Negreira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Portonovo SD scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS SD Negreira
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portonovo SD
(Home) 15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3 Cerceda
08 May
SD Negreira
6 : 1 Portonovo SD
01 May
Portonovo SD
1 : 2 SD Ordenes
21 Apr
Alondras
4 : 0 Portonovo SD
17 Apr
Portonovo SD
1 : 2 Bergantinos
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15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3 Cerceda
01 May
Portonovo SD
1 : 2 SD Ordenes
17 Apr
Portonovo SD
1 : 2 Bergantinos
03 Apr
Portonovo SD
0 : 1 Estradense
12 Mar
Portonovo SD
0 : 0 Pontevedra B
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SD Negreira
(Away) 28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3 Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0 Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1 Somozas
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27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
01 May
CD Cultural Areas
2 : 1 SD Negreira
22 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 2 SD Negreira
08 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0 SD Negreira
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Compostela | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 70:26 | 85 |
| 2 | Montaneros | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68:41 | 76 |
| 3 | CD Ourense | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 74:40 | 71 |
| 4 | Cerceda | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66:47 | 64 |
| 5 | Naron | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 67:55 | 58 |
| 6 | Lalin | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:37 | 53 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 48:39 | 53 |
| 8 | Santa Comba | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 42:47 | 50 |
| 9 | SD Negreira | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 42:52 | 50 |
| 10 | Alondras | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Somozas | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46:59 | 46 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 34:46 | 45 |
| 13 | SD Ordenes | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36:35 | 45 |
| 14 | Verin CF | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45:58 | 45 |
| 15 | Rapido de Bouzas | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:54 | 44 |
| 16 | Villalonga | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 17 | Pontevedra B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 18 | Portonovo SD | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 19 | Arosa SC | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 61:83 | 35 |
| 20 | Gran Pena | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 29:55 | 34 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)