Sport Picks
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Portonovo SD and SD Negreira finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portonovo SD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SD Negreira come out ahead of Portonovo SD on wins alone.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Portonovo SD taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portonovo SD | SD Negreira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.32 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Portonovo SD
6:1
Dec 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
2:0
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
0:0
Oct 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Portonovo SD
2:1
Feb 17, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs SD Negreira
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portonovo SD 40 / 100
SD Negreira 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portonovo SD SD Negreira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Negreira let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Portonovo SD remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
SD Negreira lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portonovo SD VS SD Negreira
1.4 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portonovo SD
(Home) 27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2 Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1 Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3 Cerceda
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2 Silva SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1 Arenteiro
15 May
Portonovo SD
0 : 3 Cerceda
01 May
Portonovo SD
1 : 2 SD Ordenes
17 Apr
Portonovo SD
1 : 2 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 3
SD Negreira
(Away) 28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3 Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0 Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1 Somozas
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1 SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2 SD Negreira
01 May
CD Cultural Areas
2 : 1 SD Negreira
22 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 2 SD Negreira
08 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0 SD Negreira
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Compostela | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 70:26 | 85 |
| 2 | Montaneros | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68:41 | 76 |
| 3 | CD Ourense | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 74:40 | 71 |
| 4 | Cerceda | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66:47 | 64 |
| 5 | Naron | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 67:55 | 58 |
| 6 | Lalin | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:37 | 53 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 48:39 | 53 |
| 8 | Santa Comba | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 42:47 | 50 |
| 9 | SD Negreira | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 42:52 | 50 |
| 10 | Alondras | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Somozas | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46:59 | 46 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 34:46 | 45 |
| 13 | SD Ordenes | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36:35 | 45 |
| 14 | Verin CF | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45:58 | 45 |
| 15 | Rapido de Bouzas | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:54 | 44 |
| 16 | Villalonga | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 17 | Pontevedra B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:48 | 43 |
| 18 | Portonovo SD | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 19 | Arosa SC | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 61:83 | 35 |
| 20 | Gran Pena | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 29:55 | 34 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
