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Portonovo SD vs Verin CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 game between Portonovo SD and Verin CF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Portonovo SD
15%
Draws
0%
Verin CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portonovo SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Portonovo SD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portonovo SD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 20%
Verin CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portonovo SD Verin CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 7 12
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Verin CF
1:1
Dec 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Verin CF vs Portonovo SD
0:0
May 4, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Verin CF vs Portonovo SD
2:1
Dec 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Verin CF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portonovo SD 85 / 100
Verin CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portonovo SD Verin CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portonovo SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verin CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Verin CF has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portonovo SD remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portonovo SD VS Verin CF
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portonovo SD

(Home)
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
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Verin CF

(Away)
15 May
Verin CF
0 : 1
Bergantinos
08 May
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 0
Verin CF
01 May
Verin CF
0 : 1
Cerceda
24 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 0
Verin CF
17 Apr
Verin CF
0 : 2
Noia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Compostela 38 25 10 3 70:26 85
2 Montaneros 38 22 10 6 68:41 76
3 CD Ourense 38 22 5 11 74:40 71
4 Cerceda 38 19 7 12 66:47 64
5 Naron 38 16 10 12 67:55 58
6 Lalin 38 13 14 11 36:37 53
7 Coruxo FC 38 14 11 13 48:39 53
8 Santa Comba 38 12 14 12 42:47 50
9 SD Negreira 38 14 8 16 42:52 50
10 Alondras 38 12 14 12 48:45 50
11 Somozas 38 12 10 16 46:59 46
12 Celtiga 38 11 12 15 34:46 45
13 SD Ordenes 38 10 15 13 36:35 45
14 Verin CF 38 11 12 15 45:58 45
15 Rapido de Bouzas 38 11 11 16 38:54 44
16 Villalonga 38 11 11 16 49:53 44
17 Pontevedra B 38 11 10 17 36:48 43
18 Portonovo SD 38 8 15 15 36:51 39
19 Arosa SC 38 8 11 19 61:83 35
20 Gran Pena 38 8 10 20 29:55 34
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)