Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portsmouth U23 vs Aston Villa U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Ramsey A.
60' Event
Wright T.
79' Event
Philogene J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Aston Villa U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Portsmouth U23
15%
Draws
64%
Aston Villa U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aston Villa U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aston Villa U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Aston Villa U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aston Villa U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Portsmouth U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth U23 Aston Villa U23
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.16 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2020 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Aston Villa U23
0:3
Nov 29, 2019 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U23 vs Portsmouth U23
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portsmouth U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramsey A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wright T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth U23 23 / 100
Aston Villa U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth U23 Aston Villa U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Portsmouth U23 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Aston Villa U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa U23
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth U23

(Home)
25 Feb
Portsmouth U23
0 : 3
Aston Villa U23
04 Feb
Exeter U23
2 : 1
Portsmouth U23
21 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 4
Doncaster U23
09 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
29 Nov
Aston Villa U23
6 : 0
Portsmouth U23
Page 1 of 5

Aston Villa U23

(Away)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
2 Reading U23 6 2 4 0 10:8 10
3 Colchester U23 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 Swansea U23 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
2 Fulham U23 6 3 0 3 13:11 9
3 Watford U23 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Plymouth U23 6 1 2 3 6:13 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Hull City U23 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Scunthorpe U23 6 0 2 4 7:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U23 6 4 2 0 14:5 14
2 Doncaster U23 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Aston Villa U23 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
4 Portsmouth U23 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Southampton U23 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Nottingham U23 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Wigan U23 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Huddersfield U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Sunderland U23 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blackburn U23 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
3 Burnley U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Crystal Palace U23 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 0 2 18:7 12
2 Wolves U23 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
3 Birmingham U23 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Leeds U23 6 0 3 3 5:14 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)