Sport Picks

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Portsmouth U23 vs Barnsley U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Brown J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Barnsley U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Portsmouth U23
30%
Draws
58%
Barnsley U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barnsley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barnsley U23 come out ahead of Portsmouth U23 on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Barnsley U23 taking it.
  • Barnsley U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Barnsley U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portsmouth U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portsmouth U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Barnsley U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth U23 Barnsley U23
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.16 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2018 Premier League Cup
Barnsley U23 vs Portsmouth U23
1:2
Nov 29, 2017 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Barnsley U23
0:1
Sep 12, 2016 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Barnsley U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portsmouth U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Barnsley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth U23 10 / 100
Barnsley U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth U23 Barnsley U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barnsley U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portsmouth U23 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Barnsley U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Portsmouth U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barnsley U23
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth U23

(Home)
25 Feb
Portsmouth U23
0 : 3
Aston Villa U23
04 Feb
Exeter U23
2 : 1
Portsmouth U23
21 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 4
Doncaster U23
09 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
29 Nov
Aston Villa U23
6 : 0
Portsmouth U23
Page 1 of 5

Barnsley U23

(Away)
03 May
Watford U23
2 : 1
Barnsley U23
25 Apr
Barnsley U23
1 : 1
Bristol City U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
18 Mar
Barnsley U23
3 : 1
Peterborough U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 9:8 9
3 Birmingham U23 6 3 0 3 10:14 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blackburn U23 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
2 Southampton U23 6 3 1 2 6:3 10
3 Cardiff U23 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
4 Watford U23 6 1 1 4 4:15 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U23 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
2 Bournemouth U23 6 3 1 2 16:7 10
3 Norwich U23 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
4 Bury U23 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd U23 6 4 1 1 19:9 13
2 Swansea U23 6 3 1 2 14:13 10
3 Burnley U23 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
4 Colchester U23 6 1 0 5 8:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aston Villa U23 6 5 0 1 14:3 15
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 0 3 5:5 9
3 Ipswich U23 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
4 West Brom U23 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester U23 6 4 2 0 15:5 14
2 Everton U23 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Portsmouth U23 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
4 Barnsley U23 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U23 6 4 1 1 10:12 13
2 Liverpool U23 6 3 1 2 19:7 10
3 Stoke City U23 6 2 1 3 11:14 7
4 Charlton U23 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U23 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
2 Brighton U23 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
3 Sunderland U23 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Hull City U23 6 1 2 3 5:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2017/2018 (Play Offs)