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Portsmouth U23 vs Southend U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup 2016/2017 West Leigh Park, Havant
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Portsmouth U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Portsmouth U23
20%
Draws
64%
Southend U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southend U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portsmouth U23 come out ahead of Southend U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Portsmouth U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Portsmouth U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portsmouth U23, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Portsmouth U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Southend U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portsmouth U23 Southend U23
Matches Played 25 11
Wins 9 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.16 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2017 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Southend U23
1:0
Aug 22, 2016 Premier League Cup
Portsmouth U23 vs Southend U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portsmouth U23 35 / 100
Southend U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portsmouth U23 Southend U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend U23 has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.

Portsmouth U23's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Southend U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portsmouth U23 VS Southend U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portsmouth U23

(Home)
25 Feb
Portsmouth U23
0 : 3
Aston Villa U23
04 Feb
Exeter U23
2 : 1
Portsmouth U23
21 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 4
Doncaster U23
09 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
29 Nov
Aston Villa U23
6 : 0
Portsmouth U23
Page 1 of 5

Southend U23

(Away)
14 Feb
Southend U23
1 : 5
Stoke City U23
25 Jan
Southend U23
1 : 0
Colchester U23
08 Dec
Fulham U23
4 : 0
Southend U23
22 Nov
Stoke City U23
3 : 0
Southend U23
08 Oct
Colchester U23
1 : 1
Southend U23
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Burnley U23 3
Bournemouth U23 2
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Portsmouth U23 2
Southend U23 1
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AFC Wimbledon U23 5
Wigan U23 0
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Final
Burnley U23 2
Watford U23 0
Portsmouth U23 2
Barnsley U23 0
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