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Portuense vs Algeciras

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Portuense
20%
Draws
33%
Algeciras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than Portuense.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Portuense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Portuense Clean Sheet 20%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuense Algeciras
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Portuense
1:1
Nov 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Algeciras
1:1
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Algeciras
2:2
Nov 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Portuense
2:1
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Algeciras
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuense 67 / 100
Algeciras 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuense Algeciras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Portuense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Algeciras let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuense VS Algeciras
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuense

(Home)
04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1
Portuense
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
Page 1 of 6

Algeciras

(Away)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)