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Portuense vs Montilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013
Portuense Logo

Portuense

1 - 0
FT
Montilla Logo

Montilla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portuense in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Portuense
15%
Draws
20%
Montilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Montilla haven't matched Portuense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Portuense a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Portuense Clean Sheet 20%
Montilla Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuense Montilla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Montilla
1:0
Oct 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Montilla vs Portuense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuense 85 / 100
Montilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuense Montilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montilla let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Portuense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Portuense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Montilla's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuense VS Montilla
0.5 Goals Scored 0.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuense

(Home)
04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1
Portuense
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
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Montilla

(Away)
31 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 0
Montilla
19 Oct
Montilla
0 : 1
Rincon
19 May
Algeciras
4 : 0
Montilla
12 May
Montilla
3 : 1
Conil
05 May
Mairena
2 : 0
Montilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 38 21 13 4 65:27 76
2 Cordoba B 38 21 12 5 59:22 75
3 Coria C.F. 38 19 11 8 64:37 68
4 Mairena 38 17 14 7 47:28 65
5 AD Ceuta 38 18 9 11 63:38 63
6 Cabecense 38 14 17 7 52:35 59
7 CD Alcala 38 16 10 12 49:39 58
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:57 50
9 San Roque de Cadiz 37 14 8 15 45:55 50
10 Portuense 37 11 16 10 35:33 49
11 Cadiz B 38 12 11 15 36:47 47
12 Conil 38 11 12 15 46:56 45
13 Sevilla C 38 10 14 14 40:46 44
14 CMD San Juan 38 10 13 15 35:44 43
15 Pozoblanco 38 10 11 17 30:50 41
16 Arcos CF 38 11 8 19 37:59 41
17 Ayamonte 38 11 7 20 35:61 40
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 34:51 40
19 Los Barrios 38 9 11 18 30:55 38
20 Montilla 38 9 6 23 37:56 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)