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Portuense vs Murallas de Ceuta FC

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 game between Portuense and Murallas de Ceuta FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murallas de Ceuta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Portuense
15%
Draws
40%
Murallas de Ceuta FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portuense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Murallas de Ceuta FC haven't matched Portuense's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Portuense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Portuense Clean Sheet 20%
Murallas de Ceuta FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuense Murallas de Ceuta FC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Murallas de Ceuta FC
0:1
Oct 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Portuense
0:0
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Portuense vs Murallas de Ceuta FC
2:0
Sep 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Portuense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuense 85 / 100
Murallas de Ceuta FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuense Murallas de Ceuta FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuense found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Murallas de Ceuta FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Portuense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuense VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuense

(Home)
20 Sept
Egabrense
1 : 3
Portuense
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 1
Portuense
25 Aug
Portuense
0 : 2
Antoniano
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
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Murallas de Ceuta FC

(Away)
13 May
Murallas de Ceuta FC
2 : 1
San Roque de Cadiz
06 May
Coria C.F.
1 : 0
Murallas de Ceuta FC
28 Apr
Murallas de Ceuta FC
2 : 1
Sevilla C
22 Apr
CD Alcala
3 : 0
Murallas de Ceuta FC
15 Apr
Murallas de Ceuta FC
2 : 1
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanluqueno 38 28 5 5 81:32 89
2 CD San Fernando 38 22 8 8 88:52 74
3 Mairena 38 20 11 7 64:32 71
4 Coria C.F. 38 20 8 10 72:46 68
5 Sevilla C 38 20 6 12 67:46 66
6 Algeciras 38 17 8 13 57:50 59
7 CD Alcala 38 13 18 7 58:52 57
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 16 6 16 59:55 54
9 Cadiz B 38 13 11 14 53:53 50
10 Cordoba B 38 11 12 15 35:37 45
11 Conil 38 11 12 15 47:68 45
12 Pozoblanco 38 10 15 13 47:49 45
13 Antoniano 38 10 13 15 31:45 43
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 11 9 18 53:67 42
15 Arcos CF 38 9 13 16 45:63 40
16 Portuense 38 8 15 15 41:53 39
17 Ayamonte 38 10 8 20 46:72 38
18 Murallas de Ceuta FC 38 9 11 18 34:51 38
19 Marinaleda 38 9 11 18 39:59 38
20 PD Rociera 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)