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Portugal U16 vs New Caledonia U16

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Soares D.
48' Event
Ferreira G.
50' Event
Trovisco J.

AI Match Summary

Portugal U16 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Portugal U16
11%
Draws
9%
New Caledonia U16
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Portugal U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Portugal U16 have won more games recently than New Caledonia U16.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U16's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Portugal U16 Clean Sheet 12%
New Caledonia U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U16 New Caledonia U16
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 15 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U16 vs New Caledonia U16
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soares D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

New Caledonia U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U16 74 / 100
New Caledonia U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U16 New Caledonia U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portugal U16 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

New Caledonia U16's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Portugal U16 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U16 VS New Caledonia U16
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U16

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Portugal U16
4 : 2
South Korea U16
29 May
Portugal U16
2 : 1
Norway U16
21 Apr
France U16
5 : 1
Portugal U16
19 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
England U16
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New Caledonia U16

(Away)
18 Jul
Samoa U16
1 : 1
New Caledonia U16
15 Jul
New Caledonia U16
0 : 1
Papua New Guinea U16
12 Jul
New Caledonia U16
0 : 2
Fiji U16
30 Aug
New Caledonia U16
0 : 2
New Zealand U16
27 Aug
Fiji U16
1 : 2
New Caledonia U16
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