Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025

Italy U17

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal U17 play Italy U17 in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal U17 averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Italy U17 averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U17 won 1, Italy U17 won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Portugal U17 and 1.38 for Italy U17. This points to a Italy U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Portugal U17

15%

Draws

45%

Italy U17

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Portugal U17 picked up more points recently compared to Italy U17.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Portugal U17 Clean Sheet 17%

Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal U17	Italy U17
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	23
Draws	3	1
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	2.57	2.17
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U17

Italy U17 vs Portugal U17

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Sep 4, 2025 Friendly International

Portugal U17 vs Italy U17

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

May 29, 2025 Euro U17

Italy U17 vs Portugal U17

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Sep 3, 2024 Friendly International

Italy U17 vs Portugal U17

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Jun 5, 2024 Euro U17

Italy U17 vs Portugal U17

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U17 39 / 100

Italy U17 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal U17 Italy U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U17 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U17 attacking → ← attacking Italy U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U17 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Italy U17 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Portugal U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Italy U17 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 70

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25