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Portugal U17 vs Italy U17

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Portugal U17
20%
Draws
52%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Portugal U17 at 2.72 per game, Italy U17 at 2.25.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Portugal U17 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U17 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Portugal U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 22 22
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.72 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
3:2
Sep 4, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
May 29, 2025 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
2:3
Sep 3, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
2:0
Jun 5, 2024 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U17 36 / 100
Italy U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U17 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Italy U17 conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Portugal U17 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U17 VS Italy U17
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U17

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U17
1 : 2
Iceland U17
28 Mar
Portugal U17
0 : 1
Romania U17
25 Mar
Italy U17
3 : 2
Portugal U17
18 Feb
Portugal U17
1 : 0
Germany U17
15 Feb
Portugal U17
5 : 0
Finland U17
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Italy U17

(Away)
26 Sept
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
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