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Stadium Background

Portugal U18 vs Finland U18

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Koukkumaki T. In: Kirilov M.
Out: Koukkumaki T.
40'
Oksanen G.
42'
Helen O.

AI Match Summary

Portugal U18 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Portugal U18
30%
Draws
33%
Finland U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal U18 have won more games recently than Finland U18.
  • Model gives Portugal U18 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Portugal U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Finland U18 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U18 Finland U18
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.27 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Finland U18
5:0
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Finland U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sousa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Finland U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U18 58 / 100
Finland U18 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U18 Finland U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U18 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Finland U18 let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Solid form: Portugal U18 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U18 VS Finland U18
1.13 Goals Scored 1.2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.4
50% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U18

(Home)
29 Sept
Portugal U18
2 : 0
Uzbekistan U18
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
28 Mar
Portugal U18
4 : 0
Iceland U19
25 Mar
Portugal U18
3 : 1
Morocco U18
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
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Finland U18

(Away)
09 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Norway U18
06 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Turkey U18
04 Jun
Ukraine U18
0 : 0
Finland U18
15 Nov
Denmark U18
1 : 2
Finland U18
13 Nov
Denmark U18
2 : 1
Finland U18
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