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Portugal U18 vs Mexico U18

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
MP
36' Event
Panuco O.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Valente R.

AI Match Summary

Portugal U18 in this Friendly International 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Portugal U18
20%
Draws
17%
Mexico U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Portugal U18 have won more games recently than Mexico U18.
  • Portugal U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Portugal U18 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Portugal U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Mexico U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U18 Mexico U18
Matches Played 38 23
Wins 24 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.08 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2019 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Mexico U18
3:1
Apr 18, 2018 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Mexico U18
2:1
Jan 30, 2013 Friendly International
Mexico U18 vs Portugal U18
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer MP
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valente R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Mexico U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U18 85 / 100
Mexico U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U18 Mexico U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U18 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: Mexico U18 conceded in 91% of 23 recent games.

Recent resilience: Portugal U18 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U18 VS Mexico U18
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U18

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
28 Mar
Portugal U18
4 : 0
Iceland U19
25 Mar
Portugal U18
3 : 1
Morocco U18
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
10 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
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Mexico U18

(Away)
07 Sept
Czech Republic U18
2 : 1
Mexico U18
05 Sept
Mexico U18
0 : 4
Turkey U18
03 Sept
Mexico U18
2 : 3
Slovakia U18
28 Mar
Netherlands U18
4 : 1
Mexico U18
25 Sept
Mexico U18
1 : 0
Germany U18
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