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Stadium Background

Portugal U18 vs Morocco U18

World World

Friendly International Cidade do Futebol, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Guedes M.
45' Event
Semedo A.
81' Event
Ferreira E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Portugal U18 and Morocco U18 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Portugal U18
20%
Draws
36%
Morocco U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portugal U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portugal U18 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Portugal U18 Clean Sheet 19%
Morocco U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U18 Morocco U18
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Morocco U18
3:1
Mar 24, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Morocco U18
2:1
Jan 31, 2017 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Morocco U18
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guedes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Semedo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Morocco U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarrouj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U18 85 / 100
Morocco U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U18 Morocco U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U18 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (40 games).

Morocco U18 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Portugal U18 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U18 VS Morocco U18
2 Goals Scored 1.6
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U18

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
28 Mar
Portugal U18
4 : 0
Iceland U19
25 Mar
Portugal U18
3 : 1
Morocco U18
13 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 1
Austria U18
10 Feb
Portugal U18
1 : 0
Austria U18
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Morocco U18

(Away)
31 Mar
Morocco U18
2 : 1
Iceland U19
28 Mar
USA U18
1 : 2
Morocco U18
25 Mar
Portugal U18
3 : 1
Morocco U18
06 Sept
England U18
4 : 1
Morocco U18
28 May
Morocco U18
2 : 1
England U18
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