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Portugal U19 vs China U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Toulon Tournament 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Quina D.
27' Event
Correia P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Portugal U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Portugal U19
30%
Draws
33%
China U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Portugal U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portugal U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Portugal U19 Clean Sheet 68%
China U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U19 China U21
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.14 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.28 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
Portugal U19 vs China U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Quina D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

China U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U19 95 / 100
China U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U19 China U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portugal U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

China U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Portugal U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U19 VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U19

(Home)
30 Sept
Portugal U19
6 : 1
Netherlands U19
09 Jun
Serbia U19
0 : 1
Portugal U19
06 Jun
Portugal U19
0 : 0
Greece U19
03 Jun
Portugal U19
1 : 1
Kazakhstan U19
31 Mar
Portugal U19
0 : 6
England U19
Page 1 of 6

China U21

(Away)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Stage 1
France U20 2
Canada U21 1
Japan U21 1
Togo U21 0
Portugal U19 2
China U21 0
Qatar U19 1
South Korea U20 2