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Portugal U19 W vs Finland U19 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Friendly International Women 2025 Cidade do Futebol, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mariano M.
46'
Sub
Reis O. In: Mare E.
Out: Reis O.
46'
Sub
Fagerstrom K. In: Ratts A.
Out: Fagerstrom K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Portugal U19 W and Finland U19 W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Portugal U19 W
35%
Draws
28%
Finland U19 W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portugal U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portugal U19 W come out ahead of Finland U19 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Portugal U19 W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portugal U19 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Portugal U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
Finland U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U19 W Finland U19 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.2 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Portugal U19 W vs Finland U19 W
3:0
Jan 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Portugal U19 W vs Finland U19 W
2:0
Jan 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Portugal U19 W vs Finland U19 W
2:1
Jan 17, 2024 Friendly International Women
Portugal U19 W vs Finland U19 W
2:0
Sep 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
Portugal U19 W vs Finland U19 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Finland U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U19 W 76 / 100
Finland U19 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U19 W Finland U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U19 W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Portugal U19 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Finland U19 W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U19 W VS Finland U19 W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U19 W

(Home)
18 Apr
Portugal U19 W
0 : 0
Spain U19 W
15 Apr
Portugal U19 W
3 : 0
Hungary U19 W
12 Apr
Northern Ireland U19 W
0 : 1
Portugal U19 W
06 Mar
Portugal U19 W
1 : 1
USA U19 W
02 Mar
Portugal U19 W
2 : 2
Czech Republic U19 W
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Finland U19 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Finland U19 W
1 : 0
Belgium U19 W
15 Apr
Finland U19 W
1 : 2
Denmark U19 W
12 Apr
Finland U19 W
1 : 0
Serbia U19 W
09 Apr
Iceland U19 W
1 : 1
Finland U19 W
05 Mar
Austria U19 W
2 : 1
Finland U19 W
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