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Portugal U21 vs Netherlands U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Stadion pod Dubnom (MSK Zilina), Žilina
Portugal U21 Logo

Portugal U21

0 - 1
FT
Netherlands U21 Logo

Netherlands U21

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
van Bommel R.
21'
van Bommel R.
21'
van Bommel R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Netherlands U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Portugal U21
15%
Draws
31%
Netherlands U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portugal U21 come out ahead of Netherlands U21 on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Portugal U21 taking it.
  • Portugal U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Netherlands U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Netherlands U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 3 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:1
Jun 24, 2023 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:1
Nov 18, 2020 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Netherlands U21
2:1
Oct 11, 2019 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Portugal U21
4:2
Nov 15, 2016 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Portugal U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Poku E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 85 / 100
Netherlands U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Netherlands U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Portugal U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Netherlands U21 has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U21 VS Netherlands U21
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Gibraltar U21
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Netherlands U21
0 : 0
Norway U21
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spain U21 1
England U21 3
Portugal U21 0
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
Italy U21 2
Denmark U21 2
France U21 3
Semi-finals
England U21 2
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
France U21 0
Final
England U21 3
Germany U21 2