Sport Picks
Portugal U21 vs Poland U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 Štadión na Sihoti, Trenčín 
Match Events
16'
16'
Quenda G.
Assist: Roger
24'
24'
Quenda G.
Assist: Roger
30'
30'
Araujo H.
Assist: Quenda G.
AI Match Summary
Portugal U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Portugal U21 have won more games recently than Poland U21.
- Portugal U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portugal U21 | Poland U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.93 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Poland U21
5:0
Nov 20, 2018 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Poland U21
1:3
Nov 16, 2018 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Portugal U21
0:1
Sep 10, 2013 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Poland U21
6:1
Sep 10, 2012 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Portugal U21
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portugal U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Quenda G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Araujo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Poland U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portugal U21 84 / 100
Poland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portugal U21 Poland U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portugal U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Portugal U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Poland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Portugal U21 VS Poland U21
3.63 Goals Scored 2.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Portugal U21
(Home) 03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0 Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0 Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4 Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0 Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11 Portugal U21
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03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0 Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0 Scotland U21
10 Oct
Portugal U21
3 : 0 Bulgaria U21
05 Sept
Portugal U21
5 : 0 Azerbaijan U21
21 Jun
Portugal U21
0 : 1 Netherlands U21
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Poland U21
(Away) 31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1 Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1 Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6 Poland U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6 Poland U21
09 Sept
Armenia U21
0 : 4 Poland U21
17 Jun
France U21
4 : 1 Poland U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Slovakia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Romania U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | England U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Slovenia U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 7 |
| 2 | France U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Georgia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Ukraine U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Finland U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
