Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Women 2025

Portugal U23 W

1 - 5

Netherlands U23 W

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Nijstad N.

46'

Sub

Nijstad N. In: van Beijeren J.

Out: Nijstad N.

46'

Sub

Silva J. In: Soba I.

Out: Silva J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Portugal U23 W and Netherlands U23 W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Portugal U23 W

22%

Draws

60%

Netherlands U23 W

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Netherlands U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Portugal U23 W haven't matched Netherlands U23 W's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Netherlands U23 W's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Netherlands U23 W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Portugal U23 W Clean Sheet 19%

Netherlands U23 W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal U23 W	Netherlands U23 W
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	4	16
Draws	5	8
Losses	21	5
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2025 Friendly International Women

Portugal U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

1:5

Sep 25, 2023 Friendly International Women

Netherlands U23 W vs Portugal U23 W

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Oct 6, 2022 Friendly International Women

Portugal U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagoa M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Netherlands U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nijstad N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Noordman D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U23 W 20 / 100

Netherlands U23 W 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal U23 W Netherlands U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NET Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Netherlands U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Portugal U23 W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Portugal U23 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U23 W VS Netherlands U23 W

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%