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Portugal vs Armenia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Championship 2026 Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Veiga R.
18' Event
Spertsyan E.
Assist: Ranos G.
28' Event
Ramos G.

AI Match Summary

Portugal in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 9-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Portugal
20%
Draws
24%
Armenia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Armenia haven't matched Portugal's recent run of results.
  • Portugal are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Portugal have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Portugal Clean Sheet 68%
Armenia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal Armenia
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 20 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.16 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship
Portugal vs Armenia
9:1
Sep 6, 2025 World Championship
Armenia vs Portugal
0:5
Jun 13, 2015 Euro
Armenia vs Portugal
2:3
Nov 14, 2014 Euro
Portugal vs Armenia
1:0
Nov 17, 2007 Euro
Portugal vs Armenia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Neves J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Veiga R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Spertsyan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal 59 / 100
Armenia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal Armenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Armenia conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Portugal found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Portugal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal VS Armenia
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal

(Home)
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4
Portugal
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0
Wales
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
Page 1 of 7

Armenia

(Away)
28 Sept
Armenia
2 : 3
Montenegro
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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