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World Championship 2026 Estádio José Alvalade

Hungary

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal play Hungary in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Hungary averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal won 4, Hungary won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 14, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Portugal and 1.25 for Hungary. This points to a Portugal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Portugal

22%

Draws

28%

Hungary

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Portugal picked up more points recently compared to Hungary.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Portugal Clean Sheet 19%

Hungary Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal	Hungary
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	12
Draws	6	8
Losses	4	10
Goals Scored	2.2	1.33
Goals Conceded	0.87	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Portugal vs Hungary

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Hungary vs Portugal

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

2:3

Jun 15, 2021 Euro

Hungary vs Portugal

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Sep 3, 2017 World Championship

Hungary vs Portugal

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Mar 25, 2017 World Championship

Portugal vs Hungary

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo C.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Szalai At.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Szoboszlai D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal 49 / 100

Hungary 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal Hungary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portugal or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal attacking → ← attacking Hungary

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Hungary let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Portugal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hungary lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 44

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0