Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Portugal

2 - 2

Hungary

Our Tip

Match Events

Szalai At.

Assist: Szoboszlai D.

22'

Ronaldo C.

Assist: Semedo N.

34'

Fernandes B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Portugal and Hungary finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Portugal

15%

Draws

39%

Hungary

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Portugal come out ahead of Hungary on wins alone.
46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Portugal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Portugal Clean Sheet 68%

Hungary Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal	Hungary
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	20	12
Draws	6	7
Losses	4	11
Goals Scored	2.2	1.17
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.16	0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Portugal vs Hungary

2:2

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Hungary vs Portugal

2:3

Jun 15, 2021 Euro

Hungary vs Portugal

0:3

Sep 3, 2017 World Championship

Hungary vs Portugal

0:1

Mar 25, 2017 World Championship

Portugal vs Hungary

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo C.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.89

Avg xA / game 0.58

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Szalai At.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Szoboszlai D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal 41 / 100

Hungary 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal Hungary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Portugal scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Hungary let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Portugal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal VS Hungary

1.75 Goals Scored 1.14

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.57

75% Over 1.5 43%

50% Over 2.5 43%

13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal

(Home)

04 Oct

Portugal

2 : 1

Norway

01 Oct

Denmark

2 : 4

Portugal

27 Sept

Norway

1 : 2

Portugal

24 Sept

Portugal

1 : 0

Wales

06 Jul

Portugal

0 : 1

Spain

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Hungary

(Away)

05 Oct

Ukraine

1 : 2

Hungary

02 Oct

Hungary

1 : 0

Georgia

28 Sept

Northern Ireland

0 : 0

Hungary

25 Sept

Hungary

0 : 1

Ukraine

09 Jun

Hungary

3 : 1

Kazakhstan

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