Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Giugliano M.
59'
59'
Sub
Giugliano M. In: Greggi G.
Out: Giugliano M.
59'
59'
Sub
Cantore S. In: Cambiaghi M.
Out: Cantore S.
AI Match Summary
The Euro Women game between Portugal W and Italy W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Portugal W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Portugal W come out ahead of Italy W on wins alone.
- Model gives Portugal W a 70% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Euro Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Italy W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 68%
Italy W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portugal W | Italy W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 7, 2025 Euro Women
Portugal W vs Italy W
1:1
Mar 4, 2020 Algarve Cup Women
Portugal W vs Italy W
1:2
Jun 8, 2018 World Cup Women
Italy W vs Portugal W
3:0
Nov 28, 2017 World Cup Women
Portugal W vs Italy W
0:1
Mar 27, 2010 World Cup Women
Portugal W vs Italy W
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portugal W Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Italy W Compare
Top Goalscorer Girelli C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portugal W 77 / 100
Italy W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portugal W Italy W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portugal W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Italy W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Portugal W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portugal W VS Italy W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portugal W
(Home) 09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1 Portugal W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0 Latvia W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2 Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3 Portugal W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0 Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0 Latvia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0 Slovakia W
03 Mar
Portugal W
2 : 0 Finland W
02 Dec
Portugal W
0 : 5 Brazil W
28 Nov
Portugal W
1 : 2 Netherlands W
Page 1 of 4
Italy W
(Away) 09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2 Italy W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0 Serbia W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0 Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6 Italy W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1 Denmark W
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2 Italy W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0 Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6 Italy W
02 Dec
USA W
2 : 0 Italy W
29 Nov
USA W
3 : 0 Italy W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Switzerland W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Finland W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Iceland W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Belgium W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Portugal W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Germany W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Poland W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Denmark W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | England W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Netherlands W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)