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Portugal W vs Netherlands W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Grant C.
Assist: Leuchter R.
23' Event
Wilms L.
39'
Sub
Nazareth K. In: Jacinto A.
Out: Nazareth K.

AI Match Summary

Netherlands W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Portugal W
15%
Draws
39%
Netherlands W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Netherlands W have won more games recently than Portugal W.
  • Model gives Portugal W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Netherlands W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 12%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal W Netherlands W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.71 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs Netherlands W
1:2
Jul 23, 2023 World Cup Women
Netherlands W vs Portugal W
1:0
Jul 13, 2022 Euro Women
Netherlands W vs Portugal W
3:2
Sep 13, 2014 World Cup Women
Netherlands W vs Portugal W
3:2
Oct 26, 2013 World Cup Women
Portugal W vs Netherlands W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Faria A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grant C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilms L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal W 65 / 100
Netherlands W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal W Netherlands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Portugal W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Netherlands W let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Portugal W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal W VS Netherlands W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
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Netherlands W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
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