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Portugalete vs Barakaldo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Lopez J.
67' Event
Odriozola U.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Portugalete and Barakaldo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Portugalete
30%
Draws
29%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portugalete come out ahead of Barakaldo on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Portugalete taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 68%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete Barakaldo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Portugalete vs Barakaldo
2:0
Aug 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Portugalete vs Barakaldo
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Barakaldo
0:1
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Barakaldo vs Portugalete
3:1
May 7, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Barakaldo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odriozola U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barakaldo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 50 / 100
Barakaldo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugalete's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Barakaldo let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Portugalete stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS Barakaldo
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
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Barakaldo

(Away)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
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