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Portugalete vs Baskonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Portugalete
30%
Draws
29%
Baskonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portugalete lately — more wins on the board than Baskonia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 20%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete Baskonia
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 23 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Baskonia
5:1
Oct 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Portugalete
1:1
Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Baskonia
0:0
Sep 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Portugalete
1:1
Feb 10, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Baskonia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 31 / 100
Baskonia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete Baskonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portugalete scored in 87% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Baskonia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Portugalete stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 8

Baskonia

(Away)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)