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Portugalete vs Eibar C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Portugalete Logo

Portugalete

4 - 2
FT
Eibar C Logo

Eibar C

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Perez Alvarez A.
69' Event
Sanchez Gonzalo E.
70' Event
Cuello Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Portugalete and Eibar C finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Portugalete
30%
Draws
29%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Portugalete carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Portugalete taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portugalete here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 19%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugalete Eibar C
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Eibar C
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Portugalete
0:5
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Eibar C
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Eibar C vs Portugalete
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perez Alvarez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Eibar C Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Gonzalo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorrozua M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugalete 36 / 100
Eibar C 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugalete Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugalete's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Eibar C has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Portugalete remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugalete VS Eibar C
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugalete

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 7

Eibar C

(Away)
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3
Real Sociedad C
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)