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Portuguesa AP vs Independente AP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Portuguesa AP Logo

Portuguesa AP

0 - 2
FT
Independente AP Logo

Independente AP

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Rondineles L.
88'
Oliveira
88'
Oliveira
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independente AP in this Amapaense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Portuguesa AP
35%
Draws
24%
Independente AP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portuguesa AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Portuguesa AP haven't matched Independente AP's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Portuguesa AP a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Portuguesa AP Clean Sheet 17%
Independente AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa AP Independente AP
Matches Played 15 37
Wins 6 18
Draws 3 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Amapaense
Portuguesa AP vs Independente AP
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa AP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Independente AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondineles L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira F. J. d. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa AP 57 / 100
Independente AP 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa AP Independente AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa AP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa AP scored in 60% of their last 15 games.

Independente AP let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Portuguesa AP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa AP VS Independente AP
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa AP

(Home)
26 Jun
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Rio Norte
20 Jun
Portuguesa AP
1 : 0
Cruzeiro AP
15 Jun
Rio Norte
0 : 0
Portuguesa AP
05 Jun
Portuguesa AP
5 : 1
Canario
31 May
Mazagao
1 : 5
Portuguesa AP
Page 1 of 3

Independente AP

(Away)
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
Promotion - Amapaense 2025 (Play Offs)