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Portuguesa RJ vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49'

AI Match Summary

The Copa Rio 2025 game between Portuguesa RJ and Resende finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Portuguesa RJ
22%
Draws
18%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portuguesa RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resende come out ahead of Portuguesa RJ on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Portuguesa RJ taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Rio 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa RJ Resende
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Copa Rio
Portuguesa RJ vs Resende
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 Copa Rio
Resende vs Portuguesa RJ
2:3
Jul 8, 2023 Serie D
Resende vs Portuguesa RJ
0:0
May 20, 2023 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs Resende
3:2
Jan 29, 2023 Carioca
Resende vs Portuguesa RJ
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa RJ 68 / 100
Resende 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa RJ Resende

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa RJ scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Portuguesa RJ has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Resende lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa RJ VS Resende
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
CEAC/Araruama3
Sampaio Correa FE1
Olaria0
Nova Iguacu1
Cabofriense2
Boavista1
America RJ2
Audax RJ0
Goncalense0
Marica3
Duque de Caxias1
Madureira2
Campo Grande0
Bangu3
Resende2
Portuguesa RJ3
Quarter-finals
CEAC/Araruama3
Nova Iguacu2
Cabofriense2
America RJ5
Marica6
Madureira1
Bangu0
Portuguesa RJ1
Semi-finals
CEAC/Araruama0
America RJ1
Marica1
Portuguesa RJ3
Final
America RJ1
Portuguesa RJ2