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Portuguesa Santista vs Francana

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Yohan
30'
Wellington
30'
Wellington

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Portuguesa Santista and Francana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portuguesa Santista
6%
Draws
4%
Francana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portuguesa Santista come out ahead of Francana on wins alone.
  • Portuguesa Santista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Francana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Francana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Francana
1:0
Feb 24, 2010 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Francana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Francana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 95 / 100
Francana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Francana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portuguesa Santista has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Francana let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Francana
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285