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Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa
Sun, Apr 5, 2026
2 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa Santista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Portuguesa Santista
20%
Draws
38%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portuguesa Santista lately — more wins on the board than Paulista.
  • Portuguesa Santista are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Paulista here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Paulista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Paulista
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:0
Mar 25, 2017 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:1
Feb 1, 2006 Paulista
Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 51 / 100
Paulista 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Paulista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Portuguesa Santista has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Paulista let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Paulista
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marilia3
EC Sao Bernardo2
XV de Jau3
Rio Claro0
Portuguesa Santista3
Paulista2
Rio Preto EC3
Uniao Barbarense0
Semi-finals
Marilia3
XV de Jau2
Portuguesa Santista2
Rio Preto EC1
Final
Marilia2
Portuguesa Santista4