Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa, Santos
Portuguesa Santista Logo

Portuguesa Santista

Sun, Apr 5, 2026
2 - 0
01:00 PM
Paulista Logo

Paulista

Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Portuguesa Santista
30%
Draws
27%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portuguesa Santista lately — more wins on the board than Paulista.
  • Portuguesa Santista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Portuguesa Santista have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paulista, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Paulista have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Paulista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Paulista
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:0
Mar 25, 2017 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista
2:1
Feb 1, 2006 Paulista
Portuguesa Santista vs Paulista
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 95 / 100
Paulista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa Santista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Portuguesa Santista remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Paulista has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Paulista
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa Santista

(Home)
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2
Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

Paulista

(Away)
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marilia 3
EC Sao Bernardo 2
XV de Jau 3
Rio Claro 0
Portuguesa Santista 3
Paulista 2
Rio Preto EC 3
Uniao Barbarense 0
Semi-finals
Marilia 3
XV de Jau 2
Portuguesa Santista 2
Rio Preto EC 1
Final
Marilia 2
Portuguesa Santista 4