Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Barbarense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Flavio Souza
(Penalty)
51' Event
Otavio
90' Event
Otavio

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Portuguesa Santista and Uniao Barbarense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portuguesa Santista
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Barbarense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa Santista carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Portuguesa Santista a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Santista Uniao Barbarense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Barbarense
3:0
Feb 24, 2018 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs Portuguesa Santista
0:3
Feb 4, 2009 Paulista A2
Uniao Barbarense vs Portuguesa Santista
2:1
Apr 10, 2005 Paulista
Uniao Barbarense vs Portuguesa Santista
3:2
Feb 28, 2004 Paulista
Uniao Barbarense vs Portuguesa Santista
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Otavio
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 95 / 100
Uniao Barbarense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Santista Uniao Barbarense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa Santista scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Portuguesa Santista has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uniao Barbarense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Uniao Barbarense
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa Santista

(Home)
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2
Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1
Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
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Uniao Barbarense

(Away)
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)