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Portuguesa U20 vs Guarulhos U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paulista U20 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2023 game between Portuguesa U20 and Guarulhos U20 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuguesa U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Portuguesa U20
30%
Draws
0%
Guarulhos U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portuguesa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portuguesa U20 come out ahead of Guarulhos U20 on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Portuguesa U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Portuguesa U20 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Portuguesa U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Guarulhos U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa U20 Guarulhos U20
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.92 0.53
Goals Conceded 1 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Paulista U20
Guarulhos U20 vs Portuguesa U20
1:2
Apr 12, 2024 Paulista U20
Portuguesa U20 vs Guarulhos U20
5:0
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista U20
Guarulhos U20 vs Portuguesa U20
0:5
May 5, 2023 Paulista U20
Portuguesa U20 vs Guarulhos U20
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa U20 85 / 100
Guarulhos U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa U20 Guarulhos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portuguesa U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarulhos U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Guarulhos U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Portuguesa U20 scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa U20 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Ponte Preta U20
18 Sept
Ponte Preta U20
6 : 1
Portuguesa U20
12 Sept
Portuguesa U20
2 : 2
Sertaozinho U20
29 Aug
America SP U20
1 : 2
Portuguesa U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Mirassol U20
Page 1 of 8

Guarulhos U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Guarulhos U20
07 Jun
Guarulhos U20
0 : 2
Ibrachina U20
31 May
Nacional SP U20
3 : 0
Guarulhos U20
24 May
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 1
Guarulhos U20
17 May
Guarulhos U20
1 : 2
Portuguesa U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 8 1 1 40:9 25
2 Rio Preto EC U20 10 8 1 1 30:13 25
3 Tanabi U20 10 5 3 2 20:14 18
4 Olimpia FC U20 10 3 1 6 18:32 10
5 America SP U20 10 2 0 8 15:27 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 0 9 8:36 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Vocem U20 10 7 1 2 23:6 22
3 Aracatuba FC U20 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
4 Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
5 Tupa U20 10 3 1 6 11:20 10
6 Santacruzense U20 10 0 0 10 4:28 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 6 3 1 19:5 21
2 Comercial U20 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
3 CA Bandeirante U20 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 4 2 4 14:18 14
5 Batatais U20 10 2 1 7 8:16 7
6 Francana U20 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 10 10 0 0 30:2 30
2 Novorizontino U20 10 7 1 2 32:6 22
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 2 3 23:9 17
4 Monte Azul U20 10 4 1 5 18:21 13
5 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
6 Catanduvense U20 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lemense U20 10 6 3 1 23:7 21
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
3 Rio Claro U20 10 5 2 3 24:8 17
4 Velo Clube U20 10 5 2 3 23:15 17
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 2 1 7 20:31 7
6 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 0 1 9 5:46 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani U20 10 6 2 2 20:10 20
2 Capivariano U20 10 5 3 2 31:14 18
3 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 3 4 18:22 12
5 Piracicaba U20 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 3 6 10:30 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 15:7 22
2 Mogi Mirim U20 10 6 2 2 18:12 20
3 Itapirense U20 10 5 1 4 16:9 16
4 Brasilis U20 10 4 4 2 16:14 16
5 Guacuano U20 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
6 Aguai U20 10 0 2 8 7:18 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo U20 10 9 1 0 32:11 28
2 Osasco Sporting U20 10 6 1 3 19:14 19
3 Ituano U20 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Sao Bento U20 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
5 Sharjah Brasil U20 10 3 0 7 13:19 9
6 Salto U20 10 0 0 10 4:25 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 10 9 0 1 28:2 27
2 Portuguesa U20 10 8 0 2 27:5 24
3 Bragantino U20 10 6 0 4 35:8 18
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 4 0 6 12:18 12
5 Guarulhos U20 10 2 0 8 5:32 6
6 Barcelona EC U20 10 1 0 9 1:43 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 7 3 0 25:6 24
2 Juventus-SP U20 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 5 2 3 9:12 17
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 2 6 9:18 8
6 GE Osasco U20 10 0 0 10 4:19 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Taubate U20 10 6 1 3 27:11 19
3 Sao Jose EC U20 10 5 2 3 13:7 17
4 AC Guaratingueta U20 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
5 Manthiqueira U20 10 2 0 8 9:39 6
6 CA Joseense U20 10 0 2 8 5:28 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 3 0 49:8 24
2 Agua Santa U20 10 7 3 0 24:5 24
3 Sao Caetano U20 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
4 Uniao Suzano U20 10 3 1 6 10:20 10
5 Uniao Mogi U20 10 1 1 8 7:34 4
6 ECUS SP U20 10 1 0 9 10:39 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 34:6 25
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 5 2 3 22:21 17
3 Jabaquara U20 10 4 1 5 18:20 13
4 Maua FC U20 10 3 2 5 16:25 11
5 Mauaense U20 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
6 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 2 3 5 12:21 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams